Presently I would like to introduce you to the 'Bearish Play' scenario. It is based on a few simple factors:
1. Short-term trend is bearish.
2. The price put in a fresh lower high.
3. People are absolutely fixed on the Triangle wave pattern on the daily chart. It implies lower prices.
The tipping point for me is this H&S pattern. It becomes invalidated below 8173, and its failure would shift the balance of power in favor of the sellers. So this is my short trigger.
It should also be noted that the volatility has reached an extremely low reading. It is even lower than on April 12 when the price surged some 18% within a few hours. We should now be prepared for similar price action.
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