bonic

BTCUSD Inception day after X-mas 2019

Короткая
bonic Обновлено   
BYBIT:BTCUSD   None
Greetings fellow traders,

As time goes by, the markets evolve...
If your way of TA is strong, then the path will lead its way...

More visible, more probable:
  • Dashed lines; Possible forming patterns
  • Solid lines; Confirmed patterns / support or resistance
  • Dotted lines; Possible price-action trajectories / wave trend

' I’m trying to free your mind, Neo. But I can only show you the door. You’re the one that has to walk through it. '
~ Morpheus, The Matrix ~


With that having quoted, this is my way of keeping order in the chaos. I call it, "Pattern Formation Level( PFL )":
Alpha > Beta > Delta > Echo
(Yeah, I skipped Charlie... It just sounds cooler like this, right? ^^ )

Explanation PFL:
  • Alpha; ST / Bullish Pennant pattern formation, a.k.a. "The End Game", a.k.a. "The Big Long". (Daily and higher timeframes)
  • Beta; Most recent relevant and biggest forming pattern within The Alpha forming pattern. FW / DC. (4-12 hour timeframes)
  • Delta; Most recent relevant forming patterns within The Beta pattern. (1-4 hour timeframes)
  • Echo; You get the picture... (15min - 60min timeframes)
  • Eventually the PFL's are all connected. When the last beta, delta and echo patterns are confirmed. This should form and confirm the most recent forming Alpha pattern.
    I'm a programmer and I like playing chess. As result to my TA, I like to look ahead as far as possible. You can only do this if you have reliable trends to follow. That's why I came up with this system. Timeframes are estimations and not exact.
Current possible Delta patterns:
RBW, but there is a bigger pattern formation in the making a DT

Current possible Echo patterns:
Head & Shoulder > DT

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Today's Note:
Echo patterns looking freaky bearish. Currently shorting since the last top, $7.4K region. I was pretty lucky being able to catch that on 2nd day of x-mas. S/l is currently far out of reach. It's setup a bit above my entry point. In short this was a really nice position to trade for a holiday. I did mention yesterday I was going to short once I saw bearish signs. I'm preparing for a 7-13% drop. So be careful if you're actually longing at this point. It's never impossible for bitcoin to suddenly go up. But the probabilities are currently pretty low. That's why I barely have drawn any possible bullish trajectories. Once I see significant bullish signs, I'll update the price action chart a.s.a.p.

In case you're considering to decide to enter a short position. As you can see, if and when the DT plays out. There still might be better possible entry points for a short position with lower risk/reward trade. So keep an eye on the resistance levels of this pattern.

To be concluded...

Current Target:
Exit short position / Entry long position target: $6.5K - $6.1K region.

Tip:
Don't use linear tools/lines on logarithmic charts. Best indicator to use are the Exponential-, Relative-, Weighted-, Simple- or the regular Moving Average. (EMA,RMA,WMA,SMA,MA). These indicators adepts to the logarithmic variables.
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If you don't want to miss out on any of my daily technical analysis on Bitcoin. Then click or tap on follow and don't forget to smash on that like button ^^, thanks in advance.
In case you're wondering which indicator I'm using. She's called EMI, short for 'Epic Market Indicator' and she's a collection of diverse indicators. How to use, is in the description. You can use them like any other indicators. Search for 'epic market indicator' then add. I have recently published the latest versions. EMI 1 v3.0 & EMI 2 v2.0. Like any other instrument, practice makes perfect. If you have any input for EMI or questions about my way of TA(*Asian sound-effects*). Please leave a comment or DM me and I'll try to respond a.s.a.p. Be careful and good luck fellow traders, may the trend gods be with you!
Комментарий:
Possible support and short-term bullish reversal added.
Комментарий:
Just another day in bitcoin paradise. Volatility at its best. Bitcoin showing bullish signs.
Комментарий:
Right wick / fake out might just be standard deviation. Daily showing a wick, might confirm this. New possible forming bullish Echo pattern; RBW
Комментарий:
Correction, it's a FWB, not a RBW.
Комментарий:
But it can also be a DC.
Комментарий:
Still bullish pattern. But we need more confirmations.
Сделка закрыта вручную:
Well, took profit this is going to bullish for me.
Комментарий:
Комментарий:
Gonna wait and let the evolve a bit before entering a trade again. Took my profits for today, should be satisfied. Better to soon that too late!

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