Bitcoin poised to sell off again. We have been very careful to avoid signals in the high 10Ks because if the high chance of bearish momentum continuation.
For the coming week, here are the 3 inflection points we are anticipating for a new swing trade long signal.
1. 10,500 Support: Previous resistance area.
2. 9850 Support: Recent minor support.
3. 9K Support: Trend support. If price clears this area, it would be signaling a possible change from broader bullish trend to broader consolidation.
There is no way to know which level the market will choose. Reaching a level alone does not justify taking risk, it is only the first step in our trade process. Confirmation in the form of price structure and candlestick patterns are required to follow.
We do not short Bitcoin because we do not use leverage, and it is beyond the scope of our risk tolerance, so we WAIT.
For those interested in shorts, on this time frame, risk can be defined from the 11,200 area. The inflection points on this chart can serve as a reference for profit targets. They are proportional and conservative.
Do not lose sight of the fact that the broader trend CONTINUES TO BE BULLISH. This means counter trend trades are more likely to fake out, or likely to have much less potential. This is why conservative targets on the short side make sense for now.
Thank you for checking out my analysis, hope you find it helpful.
The S&P are at short term supports and will have a bearing on what BTC does next week..
thmacmill
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Possible short term selloff yes, but nothing catastrophic. Don't miss the broader consolidation pattern over the last 3 years. When in doubt, zoom out.
VincePrince
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Great idea
MarcPMarkets
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@VincePrince, thanks, glad you find it helpful. I have enjoyed reading your analysis as well.
CobraVanguard
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my idea
Analysis:
SaturnIndice
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@T_V_TreeTrader this is clever man good work
MarcPMarkets
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@T_V_TreeTrader, nice chart. Thanks for sharing.
eb8
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I believe 9813 is the last higher low.
bellegleason
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Awesome analysis.
Sujina
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It really helps me as a beginner.keep going..stay awesome.