Hi friends! Let's take a look at Ethereum! Looking at the four hour chart, we can see that ETH fell EXACTLY to the bear flag's full correction depth, which is shown by the dotted black trendline that is falling from the bear flag. The triangle target was not met, but ETH came very close. That's good enough for me. My LTC target was reached, but the rest of the market came within striking distance of the other targets, before turning back to the upside. Speaking of the reversal, let's assess ETH's move under the microscope. We can see that once ETH hit the full correction depth of the bear flag, it immediately reversed to the upside. The buyers then quickly stepped in, with convincing volume, and forced a bullish crossover on the MACD. Additionally, we can see that the bulls have run into resistance at the 61.8% retrace. The advance was stopped, but a bullish consolidation appears to be forming just below the 618. Also, momentum continues to expand to the upside, increasing the likelihood of a bull flag breakout. Speaking of the bull flag, I've done some visionary work, to assess where it could lead ETH, should it actually break to the upside. As you can see (if the flag rallies to it's full potential) it would put ETH up near the 38.2% retrace. I find this extremely interesting, because this could end up being an inverse head and shoulders pattern in the making. Normally, I only reserve this sort of visionary analysis for my personal look at the charts, because it's extremely hypothetical, and could very easily be wrong. In fact, it's so hypothetical, that I wouldn't give it much merit, until we see a breakout above the bull flag. Obviously, if that bull flag breaks to the downside, it will not be supportive for this hypothetical assessment. Personally, however, I like to look at the market this way, when the opportunity presents itself. It's the same method, that has allowed me to project many head and shoulders patterns, before they fully developed. You may recall how I did that in XRP, and most recently, XLM. With that said, I hate Elliott wave, and I can't stand analysts who project ungodly moves into the stratosphere. With this, you can look at it objectively, and easily envision this probable outcome. With that said, I want to be sure that everyone understands that this is simply a hypothetical analysis. There is a ton of overhead resistance, and the bears are still in control of this market. However, I do see a case for a continuation to the upside.
This has been your not-so-humble market wizard, droppin' knowledge like bombs in this place! Please follow, comment, like, and share on social media. Good luck trading everyone!
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
Love the analysis. Any books or study courses you'd suggest to us noobies?
monkia
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Good analysis. Short term these things are hard to call but you do a great job at it. I'm focused on the long term trend. I've looked back the past two years and I think we could be in for a very interesting ride with ETH over the next 90 days. Would be good to get your thoughts...
RexItUp
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@monkia, Been thinking a lot about the Eth/BTC charts like this that folks keep making. I just have a hard time believing the whales would let the ratio go that wonky against BTC. .3? .8?
OlegDC
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@monkia, The ratio against the BTC will grow for all coins ( most of them). If we look into volume of BTC on all crypto market, we see, it losing positions. BTC use to hold 100% of crypto market, when it was created, few years ago it holds 90%, then 80%, last year BTC holds 60% and now in 30th% from all volume. No words, BTC is a King of crypto, but its becoming not the first. with new pairs on the market it losing the dominance. Sorry for my poor English ,I hope I could deliver my thoughts clearly...
jjoshjj
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Bull trap breakout. Considering replacing my bible with your posts. Thnx for your hard work.
ethhunter
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@jjoshjj, 2 bull traps in a row? That would be quite sinister :)
tonyotonio
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@ethhunter, i think he means bull flag... he probably just got too excited