Dukascopy

EUR/USD meets December downtrend after 150-pip rally

FX:EURUSD   Euro Fx/U.S. Dollar
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"I would feel better if we could get a few more rate increases and not have to worry about the balance sheet."
- Loretta Mester, Cleveland Fed President (based on Reuters)

Pair's Outlook
Risk-off sentiment, which is currently driving FX and other markets, pushed the Euro             considerably to the north against the Greenback on Thursday. Helped by rising trading volume , EUR/USD             eroded all nearest resistances and finished the US session just under the monthly downtrend at 1.0930. Following these gains, which were the strongest since early December (post-ECB rally) we expect a bearish correction today. Positive US NFP could provide another momentum to the Dollar, which will move the pair towards a dense technical cluster at 1.08.

Traders' Sentiment
The bullish portion of SWFX open positions increased from 41% to 44% and bounced off the 12-week low, while 100-pip long pending orders are now enjoying a minimal majority of 51%.
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