Treasuries, base pairs, EUR crosses and metals become more and more correlated as the downtrend in in Treasuries begins to accelerate. Once the sell-off in US debt gains enough momentum, it will take down the rest of the market.
What to expect next? By the time TLT drops to 130..135 Gold should drop to 1500..1600 in the primary green w1, and EUR should be around 1.08. At the end of the sell-off in Treasuries (TLT at 70..80) Gold will reach its target of w5 below 1000, and EURUSD should be very deep under 1.00 (0.88 realistic).
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