Top 20 Adaptive Momentum [Trend Aligned]

his script is an automated End-of-Day Momentum Dashboard designed to predict the next trading day's directional bias for the top 20 most volatile stocks. It analyzes institutional price action during the final 10 minutes of the trading session and filters signals based on the long-term trend.

How It Works

Trend Identification: The script calculates a 50-Day Moving Average proxy (using 5-minute data) to determine if a stock is in a Long-Term Uptrend or Downtrend.

Adaptive Signal Logic: Instead of a simple reversal strategy, the script adapts its prediction based on the trend context:

Trend Following: If a stock closes strong (Green) in an Uptrend, it signals Bullish Momentum (continuation).

Mean Reversion: If a stock closes strong (Green) in a Downtrend, it signals Bearish Reversion (fade the bounce).

Dip Buying: If a stock closes weak (Red) in an Uptrend, it signals Bullish Reversion (buy the dip).

Live Backtesting: The dashboard features a "Win Rate (3M)" column. This metric backtests the strategy over the past 3 months for each specific ticker, calculating the percentage of time the predicted bias resulted in a winning trade the following day.

Dashboard Columns

Ticker: The stock symbol.

Prev Day: The overall close vs. open of the previous session.

Trend (50d): The long-term trend direction (UP or DOWN).

BIAS TODAY: The actionable signal for the current session (📈 BULLISH or 📉 BEARISH).

Win Rate: The historical probability of success for this strategy on this specific stock.

Usage: Use this tool pre-market to identify high-probability setups where the previous day's closing momentum aligns with the long-term trend.

To effectively use the Top 20 Adaptive Momentum script, you need to treat it as a Pre-Market Screener. It performs the heavy lifting of analyzing trend, momentum, and historical probability instantly, giving you a "Cheat Sheet" for the trading day.

Here is a step-by-step guide on how to integrate it into your routine:

1. The Setup

Timeframe: Set your chart to 5 Minutes. The logic specifically hunts for the 15:50 (3:50 PM) and 15:55 (3:55 PM) candles, so the calculation works best on this timeframe.

Timing: Check this dashboard before the market opens (e.g., 9:00 AM EST) or shortly after the close (4:05 PM EST) to plan for the next session.

2. Reading the Dashboard Columns

Column What to Look For Actionable Insight
Trend (50d) UP (Green) or DOWN (Red) This tells you the "Big Picture." Only trade in this direction. If Trend is UP, you only want to see Bullish signals. If Trend is DOWN, you only want Bearish signals.
BIAS TODAY 📈 BULLISH Plan: Look for Long/Buy setups at the open. The algorithm predicts price will close higher today.
📉 BEARISH Plan: Look for Short/Sell setups at the open. The algorithm predicts price will close lower.
Win Rate (3M) Percentage (e.g., 65%) Confidence Filter. Only take trades on stocks with a Win Rate above 55-60%. This proves the stock historically respects this specific strategy.
3. The Strategy Scenarios (How to Trade)

Scenario A: The "Trend Continuation" (High Probability)

Dashboard: Trend is UP + Bias is BULLISH.

Context: The stock is strong long-term, and it closed strong yesterday (Momentum).

Execution: Watch for an opening gap up or an early breakout above the pre-market high. Go Long.

Scenario B: The "Dip Buy" (High Probability)

Dashboard: Trend is UP + Bias is BULLISH.

Context: The stock is strong long-term, but it pulled back yesterday (Weak Close). The script identifies this as a discount, not a reversal.

Execution: Watch for the stock to find support early. Use the "Master Sniper" (from your other script) to find a Discount Entry FVG.

Scenario C: The "Trap" (Avoid)

Dashboard: Win Rate is < 50%.

Context: The stock is choppy or news-driven. It does not follow technical momentum rules reliably.

Execution: Skip this stock. Move to the next one on the list.

4. Execution Workflow

Scan: Glance at the dashboard. Identify the 2-3 stocks with Green Bias + Green Trend (for Buys) or Red Bias + Red Trend (for Shorts).

Filter: Ensure their "Win Rate" is decent (over 55%).

Trade: Open the charts for those specific stocks. Use your execution indicators (like the Master Sniper) to time the entry on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart.

By using this dashboard, you stop guessing which stock to trade and focus entirely on executing the best setups.