I've updated my US Treasury All Yield Curve indicator to use the new FRED:IORB (interest on reserve balances), instead of the FRED:FEDFUNDS which is only updated monthly. The new IORB doesn't provide very long lookback for data, so I'm publishing this as a new version and not an update, making it possible for users to choose which version best suits their needs.
This script tracks the U.S. 2Yr/10Yr Spread and uses inversions of the curve to predict recessions. Whenever a red arrow appear on the yield curve, expect a recession to begin within the next 2 years. Use this signal to either exit the market, or hedge current positions. Whenever a green arrow appears on the yield curve, expect a recession to have nearly ended....
This indicator plots the US treasury yield curve as maturity (x-axis/time) vs yield (y-axis/price)
Welcome to Yield Curve Version 2.41 * Please read description to help understand the information displayed. * NOTE - This script requires 1 real time update before accurate information is displayed, therefore WILL NOT display the correct information if the Bond Market is Closed over the Weekend. * NOTE - When values are changed Via Input setting they do take...
Yield spreads are used to see investors' perception of future risk and predict a recession. The spread is the value obtained by subtracting the near term bond from the distant one. This indicator plots this value historically. I used 3-year and 10-year Turkey treasury bond yields instead of 2-year and 10-year Turkey treasury bond yields due to lack of historical...
Stability Max Overload was created in another script I have been working on found below. I have broken the code down to only display the Stability features. What this is: I was trying to find a way that could in some form display the Stability or Instability of the US Treasuries Bond Market. To try and help me do that, I came up with 3...