AUDUSD rebound appears interesting if it stays beyond 0.6960

16 мая 2022 г.

AUDUSD managed to rebound from a two-year low on Friday, snapping a six-day downtrend and portraying a falling wedge bullish chart pattern. However, downbeat data from China and fresh fears of covid resurgence push the risk-barometer pair to reverse the previous day’s recovery moves during early Monday. Even so, the RSI’s bullish divergence, confirmation of the falling wedge seems more likely, which in turn could gain recovery strength on staying beyond the 0.6960 hurdle. Following that, a run-up towards the downward sloping trend line from early April, surrounding 0.7150 can’t be ruled out. However, the 0.7000 and the 0.7100 thresholds may offer intermediate halts during the anticipated rally. If at all the pair buyers keep reins past 0.7150, the 200-SMA level near 0.7280 will act as the last defense for the bears.

Meanwhile, fresh declines can initially target the latest multi-month low around 0.6830 ahead of challenging the 0.6800 round figure, also comprising the lower line of the aforementioned wedge. It’s worth noting that the AUDUSD pair’s sustained downtrend past 0.6800 will aim for an early 2020 peak close to 0.6685 before targeting the sub-0.6600 area.

Overall, AUDUSD bears are running out of steam and a corrective pullback is more likely.