Just holding Bitcoin is a big bet on the future. Scalping intraday on the other hand can provide a regular income. Making 2% or 3% per trade with low risk several times a day? That is often possible scalping from the 15 min chart. The marked trades all have tight stops with 1% - 2% risk, profit targets are always bigger than stops. Let's look at the six trading examples in the chart, I have marked entry bars with numbered arrows:
Trade 1 - Short: - new low expected after trendline break (also 1.leg) - second leg down expected - second attempt to go lower (second entry short)
Trade 2 - Long: - second entry long from support (low of range) - pullback to EMA expected - target: breakeven stops of shorts (from trade 1)
Trade 3 - Short: - short term uptrend broken + new high - range trading expected (prices move above and below EMA) - turned down at resistance level (11.200)
Trade 4 - Short: - turned down at possible channel line, confirming it - failed break higher out of tight range - retest of lows at 10.850 + 10.700 expected
Trade 5 - Long: - failed second entry short (second attempt to go lower after low failed) - target at 10.200 has been reached (2. big leg down completed) - new uptrend: target at resistance levels 10.670 + 10.900
Trade 6 - Short: - steep uptrend broken + 2 legs to new high - resistance at 10.900 reached - retest of the lows at 10.200 expected because first break of big downtrend channel - min. target: retest of upper downtrend line 10.600
What is happening right now?
Trade 6 would have been the perfect entry, because a steep downtrend emerged. Now we had a new low after the break of that bigger channel (with a midline). T he steeper short term downtrend has also been broken and then a new low occurred. You see the same pattern over and over again? That means we could enter a sideways movement from here, but right now BTC is still moving below the EMA and inside the downtrend channel. So there is still risk of getting another leg down with a target of 9.600.
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