Potential Short Opportunity for BTC/USD at $61,000

10 июл.

Overview:
In this analysis, I present a short trade setup for BTC/USD with an entry point around $61,000. This idea is based on the confluence of volume profile levels and Fibonacci retracement zones.

Volume Profile Analysis:
The volume profile indicates significant trading activity around the $61,000 level, which suggests it as a strong resistance zone. This implies that there may be considerable selling pressure once the price reaches this level.

Fibonacci Retracement:
Applying the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high to the recent swing low, the 0.618 retracement level aligns closely with the $61,000 mark. This confluence adds strength to the resistance at this level, providing a high-probability short entry.

RSI and ADX Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing bearish divergence, indicating a potential reversal or pullback.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at a high level, suggesting a strong trend which could soon see a correction.
Trade Setup:

Entry: Short at $61,000
Stop Loss: Above the $62,500 level to allow some room for potential volatility.
Target: First target at $56,000 (next significant volume node), second target at $50,000 (support zone and 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
Conclusion:
This trade setup leverages technical analysis tools to identify a high-probability short entry point. As always, ensure proper risk management and adjust the trade parameters based on market conditions.