Bitcoin on 4h timeframe - technical analysis

5 авг.

Falling Wedge Pattern:

The chart shows a clear falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish reversal pattern. The price has broken out of this wedge to the upside, indicating potential for a significant upward movement.

Support and Resistance Zones:

The chart features multiple horizontal zones marking areas of support and resistance. The price appears to have found support around the $48,000 to $50,000 range and is currently rebounding.
Resistance levels seem to be marked around the $60,000 to $64,000 and $72,000 to $76,000 ranges.

Indicators:

Volume: There is a noticeable spike in volume at the breakout point, suggesting strong buying interest.
VMC Cipher B Divergences: This indicator shows some bullish divergence, with momentum turning upwards after a period of decline.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI appears to have bounced from an oversold region, moving towards the neutral or slightly bullish zone.
Stochastic RSI: This indicator is currently moving upwards from an oversold condition, supporting the bullish outlook.

Trading Plan
Intraday Trading:

Entry: Look for pullbacks to the support zone around $50,000-$51,000 for potential long entries. Monitor lower time frames (e.g., 15-minute charts) for confirmation of upward momentum.
Stop-Loss: Place a tight stop-loss slightly below the most recent support level, around $49,500 to minimize risk.
Targets: Consider taking profits near the next resistance level around $54,000-$56,000, or scale out at multiple levels if momentum remains strong.

Scalping:

Entry: Focus on entering trades during dips within the intraday support levels, ideally using lower time frame indicators such as the Stochastic RSI to identify oversold conditions.
Stop-Loss: Keep a very tight stop-loss to minimize risk, ideally below recent short-term lows.
Targets: Aim for quick profits, targeting smaller moves within the $1,000-$2,000 range. Exit positions if momentum starts to fade or if price approaches intraday resistance.

Swing Trading:

Entry: Consider entering a long position now or on a slight pullback, as the breakout from the falling wedge and the positive indicators support a bullish outlook.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent swing low at $48,000 to protect against any false breakouts.
Targets: First target around $60,000-$62,000, with a potential to hold for a move towards $72,000-$76,000 if the momentum continues.


The current technical setup for Bitcoin suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement after the breakout from the falling wedge pattern.

For Long Positions:
Consider entering on pullbacks or current levels, with a stop-loss placed below key support areas to manage risk.
Targeting the next resistance zones for profit-taking is advisable.
Be cautious of any sudden reversals and adjust stop-losses accordingly to lock in profits as the price moves higher.

This analysis favors a long position strategy based on the bullish breakout and supportive indicators. However, staying updated with market news and sentiment is also crucial, as sudden market changes could impact this outlook.