I am a beginner trader using a demo account so please take this with a huge grain of salt, and feel free to offer corrections. ***I am a beginner and this is my first post***
I'm predicting continuation of this local downward trend, then some kind of action nearing the area around 21700-21600ish (as this is a previous point of resistance for the first two waves in the channel).
The downward trend should continue into the weekend. I think it's safe to take various short positions until we near closer and closer to that previous resistance area (indicated with a horizontal green line). We seem to have already broken the mid-line of the channel.
Long term (into September, rest of fall) I'm thinking that BTC will turn back to a bearish market. I'll look at making a writeup on a longer time frame for this. Until the channel is broken in the downward direction, I'll assume that overall we are in an uptrend, and plan for trades strictly within the channel.