CHINAA50: Chinese Indices SpeedsUp on Economic Stimulus

7 окт.

Chinese markets are poised for a major rebound after the Golden Week holiday, buoyed by expectations of further economic stimulus measures from the government. Among the indices expected to lead this recovery is the China A50, which groups the top 50 companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. The optimism comes on the back of the announcement of more supportive policies by the Chinese government designed to revitalize domestic demand and strengthen key sectors such as finance and technology. In addition to Chinese indices, other Asian markets have also been helped by optimism about China, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 0.6%. However, Asian currencies, such as the Japanese yen, have suffered losses against a strengthening dollar due to expectations of lower interest rate cuts in the United States.

Key Elements:
• Economic stimulus in China: the country's top economic planner is expected to announce further supportive measures, which has led to expectations of a significant rebound in indices such as the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300, both recovering from eight-month lows. Recent stimulus policies, designed to boost domestic demand and support key sectors such as technology and financials, have revitalized investor optimism. This has allowed the Shanghai Composite and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300, which had hit eight-month lows, to show signs of recovery.
• China A50: This index, which groups together the top 50 companies on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges, is a benchmark for international investors. The large corporations in the financial, technology and consumer sectors that make up the China A50 could benefit directly from stimulus policies, attracting greater foreign investment. The China A50 is a benchmark for large Chinese companies, such as Ping An Insurance and Tencent, which could benefit from the new credit facilities and tax measures. These companies, with weight in the financial and technology sectors, are well positioned to capitalize on the stimulus and generate value for investors.
• Dollar strength and Asian markets: Despite optimism about China, Asian currencies have suffered losses against a strengthening dollar. Expectations of lower rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve have boosted the value of the dollar, affecting the Japanese yen and the South Korean won.
• Comparison with other indices: While other Asian markets such as the Hang Seng and the KOSPI have experienced slight gains, the China A50 stands out as the index with the highest growth potential thanks to the imminent stimulus measures.

Technical aspect: Looking at the chart, the index has been boosted on September 29 and then at the beginning of last week with several impulses that have moved the index in 15 days 41.12% upwards with 15,864 points at record highs and positioning it as one of the most interesting indexes following the performance of companies such as Tencent with excellent results. We can observe a highly overbought RSI at 89.41% and the bollinger bands very wide, the volume candles of the last 24 hours indicate a decrease in demand, which could indicate that the price of the index could be corrected.

Conclusion: The FTSE China A50 Index is positioned as a key index in the Chinese stock market environment, leading the way with high growth expectations driven by economic stimulus. Investors will closely monitor its performance, which could set an uptrend in the coming months. The resumption of trading after the Golden Week will be key to observe how markets react to these policies and what growth opportunities will emerge.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades




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