Math isn't mathing! Long $CNC for earnings

22 июл.

- I'm taking contrarian stance on CNC as fears are overdone.
- CNC has cash in hand around14 billion and market cap is around 13.5 billion.
- I call bullshit on the market. Math isn't mathing.
- Company isn't going bankrupt. There are headwinds but they will navigate the headwinds and return capital to investors.
- This is not a startup coming out of no where. It has 2 decades of experience navigating difficult times than this in the past be it GFC, Dot Com crash, Covid crash or other bureaucratic hurdles.

22 июл.

Заметка

In a bear-case worst scenario (policy cuts plus execution missteps leading to near-breakeven profits), perhaps the stock could drift lower into the low $20s or high teens – but that would imply near bankruptcy valuations for a company still doing ~$150B in revenue

22 июл.

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- P/S is 0.08
- Better than feared report will lead to huge short covering rally.

23 июл.

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- There huge risk to the upside rather than the downside as market participants are too pessimistic and pricing CNC as if it is going bankrupt.

- Please note that CNC makes real revenue and net income in billions. The headwinds are just challenges they will have to navigate which they most likely are going to address via hiking premiums.

23 июл.

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- Closing above 7 SMA would be nice :)

24 июл.

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- Sold pre market at 29.xx for 5% was expecting overreaction by market participants
- Bought back CNC at 27.xx after 7% pull back

24 июл.

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Implied volatility is +/-9% for tomorrow's earnings

24 июл.

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The way market is selling CNC they need to absolutely come tomorrow and tell that they are going out of business. So many cry babies in the markets.

25 июл.

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$23.26 should serve as some support if you look at the declines levels on the left.

25 июл.

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Glad that I had deep in the money covered calls for my shares to protect from the downside and switched to long dated call option for enjoying any upside

25 июл.

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CEO calmed investors and assured long term fiscal targets in tact. Repricing strategy 2026 is coming

3 авг.

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- $23.26 should be the bottom. At these levels, it's undervalued fundamentally and stock is priced for bankruptcy.
- Potential upside 60-100% in next 2 years

4 авг.

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Bottoming in process!
- Dowside risks << Upside risk
- Worth buying some good chunks in 23-27 range

15 авг.

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CNC : Time for mean reversion! $35+ before the year end and next year well above $40

18 авг.

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- Bearish to bullish CNC let's go!

- This company was priced for bankruptcy! This company makesb profit in billions

29 авг.

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- CNC is ticking time bomb. We are getting close to 2026 and re-pricing of policies is coming which will lead to improvements in margin and profitability.

31 авг.

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CNC is making bull flag. Hopefully 35+ soon

3 сент.

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CNC closed above $30 bucks on September 3, 2025

9 сент.

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- Consolidation and building momentum today on September 9, 2025
- shorting CNC currently is fuel to the fire.
- Easy re-rating story for 2026.

9 сент.

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- Please note that if thought UNH was undervalued then CNC is double undervalued plus rocket fuel because CNC market cap is quite low and CNC is also increasing premiums starting next year. I believe CNC has potential for faster 2x

22 сент.

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Aren't you guys tired of winning?

if not, follow for more action before it happens!

28 сент.

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Gap fill trade for CNC in 2026

28 сент.

Заметка

PT > $54 before year end 2026