ETH has traded exactly as expected from this last recent high and break down of structure that followed. Please see my last analysis on ETH from 11/11/25. We have dropped down into this Weekly Demand Zone (2150 - 2680), and are now seeing a bullish response out of it as expected. This response is most likely to pull back up to retest the previous Daily Demand Zone (2900 - 2980) and get Rejected.
The most likely targe of this fall is still to continue to the Daily Source inside of this weekly zone. The problem is that this Weekly Demand Zone was very large, leaving a wide range of buyers in this area. The most concentrated demand will be inside of the Daily Source (2150 - 2314).
This is just the market being the market and following a solid technical analysis structure.
What to look for Next?:
Keep in mind that the overall market is STILL BULLISH. This so called "collapse of the market, flash crash, crypto winter", etc. is only because we extended way too far from the last Weekly Demand Zone. The price of ETH and BTC pushed too far, too fast, and we are only returning to normal market structure. There HAS to be this kind of correction in the market in order to move forward.
So, to resume the bullish case for ETH right now, all we need to see a clear Break of Structure out of this large Weekly Demand Zone on the H4 Time frame. The H4 will be the tell tell sign that the decline is ending. That is most likely to happen within the Daily Source Zone highlighted (2150 - 2314). We need to see a clear H4 Break of the last supply zone and a retest to get out of this 2700 price range area and continue with the overall still bullish trend.
Don't be fooled by these bullish responses right now - we are not ready to go bullish again until we see what I described above. Every other bullish pump right now is a trap, and should be traded accordingly.
The most likely targe of this fall is still to continue to the Daily Source inside of this weekly zone. The problem is that this Weekly Demand Zone was very large, leaving a wide range of buyers in this area. The most concentrated demand will be inside of the Daily Source (2150 - 2314).
This is just the market being the market and following a solid technical analysis structure.
What to look for Next?:
Keep in mind that the overall market is STILL BULLISH. This so called "collapse of the market, flash crash, crypto winter", etc. is only because we extended way too far from the last Weekly Demand Zone. The price of ETH and BTC pushed too far, too fast, and we are only returning to normal market structure. There HAS to be this kind of correction in the market in order to move forward.
So, to resume the bullish case for ETH right now, all we need to see a clear Break of Structure out of this large Weekly Demand Zone on the H4 Time frame. The H4 will be the tell tell sign that the decline is ending. That is most likely to happen within the Daily Source Zone highlighted (2150 - 2314). We need to see a clear H4 Break of the last supply zone and a retest to get out of this 2700 price range area and continue with the overall still bullish trend.
Don't be fooled by these bullish responses right now - we are not ready to go bullish again until we see what I described above. Every other bullish pump right now is a trap, and should be traded accordingly.
Заметка
One other possible scenario with ETH on the bullish side is if we see a strong bearish retest of the top of this Weekly Demand Zone (~ 2680) AFTER this current push back up to the Daily Zone. If we get this retest with a strong bullish response again from 2680, we could continue. That is not the most likely scenario because there is still too much "Demand" down around $2300, but it could play out with ETH at these low levels. 
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Информация и публикации не предназначены для предоставления и не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или другими видами советов или рекомендаций, предоставленных или одобренных TradingView. Подробнее читайте в Условиях использования.