Last week, the U.S. CPI data for September was released. Although the CPI figure was higher than expected, it was still lower than the previous value. We believe that once the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle, as long as the CPI data does not significantly deviate from expectations, the market will not price in a recession or an inflation rebound. It will generally lead to a positive outcome. After going through an aggressive rate-hike cycle and entering a rate-cutting cycle, capital will no longer need to worry about changes in liquidity. In the early stages of rate cuts, investors will need to consider which market to enter to achieve high returns.
We observed the performance of the Chinese stock market at the end of September, and yesterday, the BTC ETF saw an inflow of over $500 million, the largest inflow in the past three months. Capital is starting to flow back into the cryptocurrency market, and this continuous inflow is providing price support.
ETH, which had been relatively underperforming, also saw a certain level of pump yesterday, with the price nearing previous highs. However, from the ME indicator, it can still be seen that short positions are dominating ETH. The WTA indicator shows no signs of whale activity.
In summary, we believe ETH is likely to experience a week of consolidation. We maintain the previous resistance level of 2,800 and support level of 2,100.
Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.
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