Rising wedge portrays EURUSD buyer’s exhaustion ahead of US data

16 авг.

EURUSD is bouncing back after a big drop, as traders wait for the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations for August. This bounce reverses the previous day’s decline from the highest level of 2024 and moves off the bottom of a four-week bearish chart pattern called rising wedge. The RSI indicates that the recent price increase might continue, but the MACD suggests weakening buyer interest. For sellers to take control, they need to break below the wedge’s bottom line at around 1.0960 and the 50-SMA support at 1.0946. If they succeed, they might face challenges at the 200-SMA and an upward trend line near 1.0875 and 1.0830, respectively. After that, the price could drop toward the wedge’s theoretical target of around 1.0700.

On the other hand, the 1.1000 level is attracting buyers, with the recent high of 1.1050 in sight. The top line of the wedge near 1.1055 could also act as resistance. Future resistance points include December and July 2023 highs near 1.1140 and 1.1275, and the 1.1200 level might provide a resting point for buyers.

Overall, the EURUSD pair is struggling to gain momentum in a bearish pattern ahead of US economic data. Sellers need confirmation from both technical and fundamental factors to take control.