EUR/USD flirts with 1.08 leading into FOMC and ECB meetings
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EUR/USD broke above the 1.0800 handle yesterday thanks to a weak US inflation report, yet price action now finds itself back beneath that key level leading into today's FOMC meeting (and tomorrow's ECB meeting). But as the pair has risen over the past two weeks, it may take a particularly dovish meeting from the Fed to drive it materially higher.
Therefore, we're looking for evidence of a swing high and for a move back towards the 1.0700 handle. A bearish divergence is forming on the RSI 4-hour chart and we've identified two resistance zone around the 1.0800 and 1.0860 area we'd consider fading into, or seeking evidence of a swing high. Otherwise, a stop above 1.0800 could suffice should momentum turn lower without breaking back above 1.0800.
Therefore, we're looking for evidence of a swing high and for a move back towards the 1.0700 handle. A bearish divergence is forming on the RSI 4-hour chart and we've identified two resistance zone around the 1.0800 and 1.0860 area we'd consider fading into, or seeking evidence of a swing high. Otherwise, a stop above 1.0800 could suffice should momentum turn lower without breaking back above 1.0800.
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The first swing higher respected the upper resistance zone (initially...), but bulls clearly won that fight overall.
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