EURUSD 19 Mar 2024 W12 - Intraday Analysis - EU ZEW / US Housing

This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Mar 2024 W12 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

  • 4H
  • 15m



4H Chart Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/OrJyI9F5/

1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • INT Bullish
  • Swing Pullback Phase


2.

  • After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
  • As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
  • Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.


3.

  • 4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
  • After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
  • Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.


4.

  • As expected, Price reached the Daily demand zone as refereed to the deep INT Structure Pullback.
  • We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low.
  • If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low.


15m Chart Analysis

https://www.tradingview.com/x/sraqzNpu/

1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • Swing Pullback Phase


2.

  • 15m / 4H Supply Zones for possible shorts once reached. But be mindful that the 4H CHoCH is currently the 15m Swing High and there is a HP we will take it after mitigating the Daily Demand zone.


3.

  • After the Swing BOS, the pullback phase initiated after the Bullish CHoCH.
Chart PatternsEURintradayliquidityLTFMultiple Time Frame AnalysissmartmoneyconceptSMCstructureSupply and DemandUSD

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