EURUSD justifies key resistance break at multi-day top

28 дек. 2023 г.

EURUSD remains firmer at the highest level since late July while justifying the previous day’s upside break of a four-month-long previous key resistance line, now support around 1.1040. Adding strength to the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and broad fundamental weakness of the US Dollar, especially amid the Fed rate cut concerns. The same suggests the quote’s further advances toward the late July swing high surrounding 1.1150 and then to 1.1200. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI (14) line and an upward-sloping trend line stretched from early February, close to 1.1260 by the press time, could challenge the Euro pair buyers afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.1260, the odds of witnessing a fresh yearly high, currently around 1.1275-80, can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside near 1.1100 puts a floor under the EURUSD prices ahead of the resistance-turned-support line of around 1.1040. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio and the late August peak, respectively near 1.0960 and 1.0945, will test the bears before giving them control. However, the pair buyers remain hopeful unless they witness a daily closing beneath the 1.0840 support confluence comprising the 200-SMA and an ascending trend line from early November.

Overall, the EURUSD buyers are likely to keep the reins even if the upside room appears limited.