EUR/USD

17 мая

A falling wedge is a technical analysis chart pattern that is used to identify a potential reversal in the direction of the price movement of a financial asset, such as stocks, commodities, or currencies. It is considered a bullish pattern, often signaling that a downtrend might be coming to an end and an uptrend could be about to begin. Here's how it works:

### Characteristics of a Falling Wedge

1. **Shape**: The falling wedge is characterized by two converging trend lines that slope downwards. The upper trend line connects a series of lower highs, while the lower trend line connects a series of lower lows. These trend lines converge towards a point, forming the wedge shape.

2. **Volume**: As the price moves within the wedge, trading volume typically decreases. This decrease in volume indicates a diminishing bearish momentum.

3. **Duration**: A falling wedge can occur over different time frames, ranging from a few weeks to several months.

### Types of Falling Wedges

There are two main types of falling wedges:

1. **Reversal Falling Wedge**:
- **In a Downtrend**: This type occurs after a prolonged downtrend. It suggests that the downtrend is losing momentum and that a reversal to the upside is likely. Traders look for a breakout above the upper trend line to confirm the pattern.

2. **Continuation Falling Wedge**:
- **In an Uptrend**: This type occurs during an uptrend and represents a temporary consolidation before the uptrend resumes. The breakout in this case also occurs above the upper trend line.

### Trading the Falling Wedge

To trade a falling wedge pattern, traders typically follow these steps:

1. **Identify the Pattern**: Recognize the wedge shape with converging trend lines and a declining volume.

2. **Wait for the Breakout**: The key signal is the price breaking above the upper trend line. This breakout should ideally be accompanied by an increase in volume to confirm the reversal or continuation.

3. **Entry Point**: Enter the trade at or just above the point of breakout.

4. **Stop-Loss Placement**: Place a stop-loss order below the lowest point of the wedge to manage risk.

5. **Target Price**: Measure the height of the back of the wedge (the widest part) and add this distance to the breakout point to set a potential target price.

### Example

Here's a simple example to illustrate:

- A stock has been in a downtrend for several months.
- Over time, the price forms a pattern where each successive low is less pronounced, and the highs are also getting lower, but the lines converge.
- Volume decreases as the wedge forms.
- The stock then breaks out above the upper trend line with an increase in volume.
- This breakout is seen as a signal that the downtrend may be reversing, and an upward movement could follow.

Understanding the falling wedge pattern can help traders identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed decisions in the market.