EURUSD 6th APRIL FORECAST

6 апр. 2023 г.

We can see a strong resistance at 1.08833 it it is broken then we can expect a Bear Move to 1.07863

The EUR/USD needs to move through the $1.0921 pivot to target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1.0951 and the Wednesday high of $1.09696. A return to $1.0950 would signal a bullish session. However, the EUR/USD needs hawkish ECB chatter and hotter-than-expected industrial production figures to support a pre-US session breakout.

In the case of an extended rally, the bulls will likely test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $1.1000. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $1.1078.

Failure to move through the pivot would leave the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1.0872 in play. However, barring a data-fueled sell-off, the EUR/USD pair should avoid sub-$1.080. The Second Major Support Level (S2) at $1.0842 should limit the downside. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $1.0764.

Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly chart, the EMAs send bullish signals. The EUR/USD sits above the 50-day EMA ($1.08678). The 50-day EMA pulled further away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.

A hold above S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would support a breakout from R1 ($1.0951) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($1.1000). However, a fall through S1 ($1.0872) and the 50-day EMA ($1.08678) would bring S2 ($1.0842) into play. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.