DAX - Monthly; Massive SHORT, long term.

5 окт. 2020 г.

Although accounting for a ~+2% currency advantage over US indexes and for an annual +5%-6% equity (stocks) advantage over US stocks, in general,
all that means is that the DAX will sink somewhat slower/less than it's US counterparts. E.g. one should sell this - SHORT -, freely here, as well.

5 окт. 2020 г.

Заметка

The difference between U.S. and international valuations is at near-record levels.
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705a.png

Here are the CAPE Ratios
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705b.png

... and the Sector Weights US vs. International markets.
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705c.png

The Euro valuation and subsequent returns;
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705e.png

Growth in profitability and earnings versus index returns;
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705j.png

Global Stock Markets versus the US;
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705k.png

Relative valuations and subsequent 10-year returns;
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705n.png

... And most importantly, the Percent of Total Market Capitalization of Developed Markets (ex-Japan)
hussmanfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/research/rs200705p.png

(All graphs thanks to Hussman Strategic Advisors)

5 окт. 2020 г.

Заметка

What all of the above adds up to is that, as far as full-cycle, equity investments are concerned, the US is in worse shape than the rest of the developed, international markets. However, this all being a race to the bottom, it could end up being a difference without a distinction. (...and Traders shouldn't concern themselves too much with the fundamentals, anyways. Just keep selling the "flavor of the day"!)

7 окт. 2020 г.

Заметка

Here is the obvious Daily entry point...

SHORT, for this one.

14 окт. 2020 г.

Сделка активна

SHORT

SELL it hard!!

17 окт. 2020 г.

Заметка

25 окт. 2020 г.

Заметка

DAX-CAC Monthly

12 нояб. 2020 г.

Заметка

12 нояб. 2020 г.

Заметка

13 нояб. 2020 г.

Заметка

14 нояб. 2020 г.

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Wanna see the (imminent) future fate of Wall Street's "check mark shaped economic recovery"??...

[ Dr. ] Copper Weekly; "The base metal of economic expansions".
Has anyone ever seen an RSI Divergence ( the size of Montana) like this one, not to mention that perfect, massive H & S on the same RSI? - Text book.

14 нояб. 2020 г.

Заметка

Here is an other clue: Crude Oil

5 янв. 2021 г.

Сделка активна

SHORT