Trading Idea Update: GBPCAD 4H - Bearish Continuation Setup

124
The GBPCAD 4-hour chart aligns with our previously identified bearish bias. The market is currently retracing into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in a premium zone, providing a high-probability area for short entries. Here’s the updated breakdown:

Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Premium Zone
The price has retraced into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), highlighted in red, which aligns with the premium zone of the recent swing.
This zone represents a potential area where smart money could enter short positions after mitigating imbalances.

Bearish Bias
The bearish bias remains intact as the price is approaching an area of interest for a reversal. A rejection from this FVG zone could lead to further downside, targeting liquidity below previous swing lows.

Key Targets
First Target: 1.7520 — This is the nearest significant low that aligns with liquidity resting below.
Second Target: 1.7420 — A deeper liquidity pool where price is expected to gravitate.

Execution Plan
Entry: Look for short positions within the FVG zone (1.7720 - 1.7790) after confirmation through lower time-frame bearish signals (e.g., CHOCH, BMS).
Stop Loss: Place stops above the FVG zone, around 1.7820, to protect against further retracements.
Take Profit:
First Target: 1.7520
Second Target: 1.7420
Extended Target (if momentum continues): Below 1.7300

Confluence for Short Setup
FVG Mitigation: Price is retracing into a clear imbalance in a premium zone.
CHOCH: The bearish structure shift supports the continuation of the downtrend.
Liquidity Targets: Sell-side liquidity exists below the recent lows, acting as magnets for price.
Trend Continuation: The overall market is aligned with the bearish trend on higher time frames.
Summary
The GBPCAD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bearish setup as price retraces into the FVG zone. A rejection here, supported by lower time-frame confirmations, aligns with the overall bearish trend and provides a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity. Targets are set at 1.7520, 1.7420, and potentially lower.

Отказ от ответственности

Все виды контента, которые вы можете увидеть на TradingView, не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или любыми другими рекомендациями. Мы не предоставляем советы по покупке и продаже активов. Подробнее — в Условиях использования TradingView.