Fundamental analysis:
GBP/USD ended the trading session high in a two-week rally as the US dollar generally came under pressure from investors who flocked to hopes of a Federal Reserve cut. interest rates in September. Markets are ignoring the unexpected rise in wholesale inflation according to the Producer Price Index (PPI).
Despite a significant increase in manufacturing-level inflation, market attention turned to the decline in Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation at the start of the week, leading to higher expectations of a rate cut capacity.
Next week, the Pound will face the UK Consumer Price Inflation Index (CPI), scheduled for release next Wednesday. UK Labor and Retail Sales data will be released in the second half of the week, and on the Greenback side, US Retail Sales will decline to start the week on Tuesday.
Technical analysis:
GBPUSD is rising within the range, approaching this year's high at 1.30000. Since breaking this peak of 1.28900 GBPUSD has received bullish confirmation, opening up the next upside target at the highs highest in a year. In the long term, GBPUSD is still in a strong uptrend and has not shown signs of recovery, showing the possibility of price increases to a higher level. A decisive break above the 1.30000 high would open up targets at 1.31200. The recovery can find the important support areas breaking out 1.28600 and deeper into the strong support area of the two EMA lines around 1.27100.
Support: 1.28500-1.27100
Resistance: 1.30000-1.31200
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.31200-131400 Stoploss 1.31500
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.28500-1.28300 Stoploss 1.28200