The GBP/USD pair is facing significant resistance near the 1.31800 level. With the recent U.S. economic data showing a stronger-than-expected performance, the U.S. dollar has gained strength, adding downward pressure on the pound. This analysis explores the potential for a bearish move, aiming for lower support levels.
Current Market Conditions: The GBP/USD pair is currently trading around 1.31410, just below a key resistance zone near 1.31655. The pair has attempted to break through this resistance but has been unable to sustain gains above this level. The resistance around 1.31875 remains a critical barrier, with multiple support levels identified below the current price.
Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: The U.S. dollar has been bolstered by recent data, including a stronger-than-expected rise in GDP and a slight drop in jobless claims. These factors have tempered expectations for a large rate cut by the Federal Reserve, further supporting the dollar. On the other hand, the euro's weakness against the dollar adds to the pressure on GBP/USD, as broader dollar strength continues to dominate.
Targets: Primary Target: 1.30390 - This level aligns with the first significant support zone below the current price. Secondary Target: 1.29006 - If bearish momentum continues, this deeper support could be reached.
Risk Management: Stop-Loss: 1.32072 - Placed just above the recent resistance, this stop-loss level helps to protect against a potential reversal. Risk/Reward Ratio: The trade setup suggests a favorable risk/reward ratio, aiming to capitalize on a significant move downward while limiting potential losses.
Conclusion: GBP/USD is poised for a potential bearish move as it struggles to break through key resistance. With the U.S. dollar gaining strength on the back of positive economic data, the pair is likely to test lower support levels in the coming sessions. Traders should monitor the price action closely, especially around the 1.31410 level, to confirm the bearish continuation.
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