GBPUSD larger retracement due?

23 июл. 2021 г.

On the left hand side, we can see from the weekly timeframe that bulls have failed twice to hold above 1.42. Bears seem to be in control now and from a COT perspective we can also see long positions being taken off while shorts are being added. We can expect price to retrace back to previous resistance that is now support before we can see some larger moves to the upside.

From a 4hr perspective we can see the completion of an inverted M formation and a retracement to the neckline of this structure, including a 61.8 retracement. All of this indicates a further move to the downside. Personally, I am waiting for further validation including a cut of moving averages to confirm the market environment but I feel confident that we will see a deeper pullback to 1.33.

I am fundamentally bullish on GBPUSD but short term I think it's very fair to see a sell off. Longer term, Cable is in a massive uptrend and 1.33 would be a great entry price to continue this trend with high R/R.

If you have any questions please comment below. - Nick