IBM: Another Value Turnaround?

International Business Machines has been in a downtrend for almost a decade, but now it could be showing signs of a turn.

The main pattern on today’s chart is the bullish gap following the last quarterly report on April 19. IBM has retraced almost all the jump but remains higher despite a big drop in the broader market at the same time.

The rally established prices above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That’s something of a feat that only nine members of the Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF managed to achieve yesterday, according to TradeStation data. (XLK’s portfolio includes 70+ companies.)

Speaking of the 50-day SMA, it’s rising toward the 200-day SMA. Is a “golden cross” coming soon?

Third, the stock’s long decline has produced a falling trendline that IBM has battled since June. Will the current strength result in a breakout through the downtrend?

Finally, consider that IBM jumped last month because management is finally shifting more of its revenue to cloud services. In that way, it may have potential as a “value turnaround,” similar to Oracle a year ago.

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