How High Can Kaspa Go?

16 сент. 2023 г.

ATM, it looks like Kaspa is on the verge of a breakout and a new ATH.
First, a word of caution. You should be bearish at resistance. If you want to trade this as a breakout trade, wait for confirmation. Meaning that you should wait for a S/R flip.
Regardless, the question is, if Kaspa does break out, ho high can it go?
To try and answer the question I will use the following tools:
1. The RSI as a momentum indicator.
2. Classical charting.
3. The Echo indicator by Lux Algo.
First, let’s have a look at the RSI:
• Weekly RSI is at 67. Bullish and not yet oversold. No bearish Div.
• Daily RSI is at 70. Hot, but it could go a lot higher before a pullback. No bearish Div.
• 4H RSI is at 72. Hot, but it too could go a lot higher. However, on the 4H we do have a
bearish divergence. Pay attention to that because it could lead to a pullback.

My conclusion is that there is almost no bearish momentum. Kaspa is bullish and far from being exhausted.
Classical Charting:
On the daily TF, it looks as if Kaspa is forming a cup and handle with a target of 7 cents.
There is additional confluence for this breakout from previous bullish patterns that you can see in the linked ideas.
Echo indicator by Lux Algo:
I changed the settings on the Echo indicator on the evaluation window and forecast window to 100.
Note that if I was using the default settings, the indicator’s prediction is a pullback to the 3.5 cents area. A possibility that is still very much on the table!

However, I examined the modified settings against my expectations for Bitcoin and other assets, and IMO, this is the most accurate.
According to the Echo indicator, Kaspa could go as high as 8.3 cents.

Please use risk management and remember that we are at resistance.
NFA.
What do you think? Please share in the comments.
Best Wishes.