Patience Will Reap Rewards For $OMG

22 июл. 2020 г.

We're taking a look at OMG because the Quant Market Scanner recommended that we take a peak at these guys (their price action is noteworthy over the past few days).

We're going to start with on the one day resolution.



Above we have a case of a classic overhead downtrend resistance (short-term) that's been broken (with volume).



The latest screenshot shows failed attempts by the price to break above the overhead diagonal downtrend resistance (four failures).

All of these failures lead up to the eventual explosion above the overhead downtrend diagonal resistance.



Zooming in a bit closer, we can see that there was substantial volume accompanied with this break as well (which is typically what we want to see as a *confirmation* of a legitimate break above the overhead diagonal downtrend resistance).



Another Look at Things

If you're not a believer in the idea that there was a legitimate overhead diagonal downtrend resistance suppressing the price, then perhaps the overhead horizontal resistance presents itself as a more palatable theory.

See below:





If This is the Case

Then we'll have an easier time plotting a potential 'retouch' (if there is one) for the price.

> 'Retouch?'

Typically when there is a break over an overhead resistance of some sort (or vice versa), the price tends to retest the former resistance as a support point during its ensuing consolidation period (if it comes to that).

Conversely, if the price breaks below a major support that had ben thwarting continued price action, then there is usally a re-test of the support as a resistance point before the price moves further south.

Here is What That Would Look Like



Assessing Distance Between Current Price Action and the Underlying Support (former overhead resistance)

We're going to map our trading strategy around the assumption that the price does consolidate at some point in the near future to re-test that previous overhead horizontal resistance as a support before continuing north.

However, before we can solidify this as an idea, we need to make sure that the distance between where the price is at (at the time of writing) and the (now) underlying support is not too great (otherwise, this may be a no go).



Perfect, just -5% from entry position (if we were to place a bid at th8e current floating exchange rate for OMG).

Looking For the Next Overhead Resistance

There isn't a lot to go from...but there is something.

See below:



As shown in the chart above, we drew our overhead resistance by using the previous localized ATH on the chart (dating back around May 21st/22nd, 2020) - which is priced at $1.90.

Distance Between Current Price Action and the Overhead Resistance We Drew

To get a sense for our potential upside on this move (assuming it plays out), we're going to measure the distance between where the curren floating exchange rate for OMG and that overhead resistance point ($190).



Conclusion

1. OMG is already on a "winning streak" currently (heavy uptrend over the last few weeks), so we're not going to waste too much time looking at momentum indicators here since we're not in a rush for this move to play out.

2. There's a clear underlying support point that **should hold up** (unless there is some catalyst for negative price action for OMG that creates this bearish price actoin with such volatility that it breaks straight through the underlying support). We doubt that any such event will manifest (unless it involves the broader crypto markers in some way).

3. The overhead resistance is pretty intuitive at this point as well (there's no other logical place to draw an overhead resistance target ; the $176 price amrket has no other interactions with OMG's price action that would justify us marking it out as an overhead resistance point).

Drawing Up an R/R From Here

This feels like a fair R/R for OMG currently: