SNOW Earnings Breakout Alert — High-Conviction Call Setup

SNOW Earnings Trade Overview (QS Premium) — 2025-12-03

Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 65% | Conviction: Medium
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (2 days)
Strike Focus: $267.50
Entry Range: $11.53
Target 1: $17.10 (+50%)
Target 2: $22.80 (+100%)
Stop Loss: $8.65 (-25%)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio

Market Context & Analysis

Katy AI: Neutral to slightly bearish (-2.02%, 50% confidence) — signals slight downside.

Technical: Pre-earnings rally +6.57%, volume 1.2x average, MACD bullish, breakout above $268 resistance.

News: Strong earnings expectations with 1259% revenue growth, insider leak optimism, analyst bullish sentiment.

Options Flow: Neutral PCR 0.94, unusual $350 call activity suggests institutional bullish positioning.

Risk Level: HIGH — conflict with Katy AI, elevated IV (157%), and earnings binary event.

Implied Move: $24.60 (≈9.3% move expected).

Trade Rationale

Edge: Combines strong fundamentals, technical breakout, and positive insider sentiment, overriding Katy AI’s cautious signal.

Timing Advantage: Earnings already released → captures potential post-earnings continuation.

Risk Management: Balanced delta 0.501, tight stop limits downside, consider scaling out at Target 1 due to high IV/time decay.

⚠️ Note: Moderate confidence level; use caution and reduce position size if necessary.