SPX bigger picture - no bear case until you have a few closes below 4400.
Instead of trying to time the top - it will be obvious once the trend has changed - plenty of time to join then.
For now - trend is still up in the bigger picture - UNTIL you get a few closes under 4400 and below this long term wedge.
There is the potential to just melt up into new ATH and 5000+ There is also the potential to drop back to 3500
As traders need to pay attention to important levels.
No bear case until couple closes below 4400.
If we get a couple of closes UNDER 4400 a SHORT triggers and we would target 3900-4200. If that area falls - then 3400-3500 area is next.
If we get a couple of closes ABOVE 4600 a LONG triggers and we would target ATH at 4818.62 then slow melt up into 5000-5300.
Сделка активна
As mentioned after several closes under 4400 the short to 3900-4200 would trigger - and we are now at 4170 SPX. There is still significant risk here that we continue lower however expecting a bounce here at 4170 - possibly to retarget 4335.
Сделка активна
as expected we got our bounce after 4170 reclaimed and now we are at 4350. I think 4350 is key, if bears can take control again and hold below 4350 we can revisit 4170. If bulls reclaim 4400 then 4461.
Заметка
we are reaching the upper limits of the wedge now at 5180 as mentioned this was a potential melt up into 5000+
Сделка закрыта: достигнута тейк-профит цена
This trade was completed as we reached the upper limits of the wedge
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