DOUBLE LOWER TOP FORMING: CPI COMING

7 июл. 2022 г.

Looks just like Feb 2-10, just playing at lower price. CPI numbers next week can crush this hopium rally.
ERs coming later likely to disappoint and guidance has hardly been rosy so far, can't expect much imo.

Stupid happy fool rally not getting much higher imo, just another bottomfishing bull trap.
Still waiting for capitulation and real panic, dip buyers not fully crushed yet. RSI back at rollover level.

Time and price projections suggest a lower low in late July. Follow the TL.
Fat Lady didn't sing yet...

7 июл. 2022 г.

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PS: Overlay from 9-24 Feb. A drop of similar magnitude would carry price down ~3460; capitulation low.

8 июл. 2022 г.

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A contributor remarked that screenshots of the same economic news item in popular media show it 'accounted for' both fall and rise of prices on six occasions over 24hrs, lol; here are choice others:

"US stocks were higher Thursday as jobless claims rose to their highest levels since January. " (YAY! Fed will have to ease! BUY STONKS!)

"Analysts' per-share earnings estimates for the next 12 months will likely be revised lower over the course of the Q2 earnings season, which could weigh on share prices, Oxford Economics said in a research note." (YAY! These ERs will be the worst ever, so it can't get any moar bad! BUY STONKS!)

"Wall Street benchmarks rose on Thursday, as investors reacted positively to the previous day's commentary from the U.S. Federal Reserve which hinted the central bank's aggressive pace of interest rate hikes could be tempered if growth suffered." (YAY! J-Powell will dial it back! BUY STONKS!)

Unemployment > up, inflation > up, rates > up and more hikes coming, but Hopium reaction: BUY STONKS!!! Why not?! The only game in town... testing DTL at the 50 DMA... CPI will be the test IMO

8 июл. 2022 г.

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LOL look at the gap fill, flipped a few calls on it, nuts!

8 июл. 2022 г.

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Wish we could get more bad news to drive the damned price higher! Lay it on baddies!!

8 июл. 2022 г.

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Flipped some puts on QQQ. Not chasing it, looks like a falling wedgie, might get another absurd bounce into EOD

8 июл. 2022 г.

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Look at the shorts scramble to cover... EOD short entry opportunity imo, trade lightly.

8 июл. 2022 г.

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Opening 1 Aug SPXS $25C filled @2.04

8 июл. 2022 г.

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Opening 200 SPXS covered call write short the Jul $26c, net debit 23.80 x200

8 июл. 2022 г.

Сделка активна

Not going hog wild on Fri EOD lol. Cheers!

11 июл. 2022 г.

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LOL shoulda gone wild Fri. Shorted the retracement and added EOD monday. Let's see...

12 июл. 2022 г.

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Getting red trading at night, shortseller's delight...

12 июл. 2022 г.

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Cheated again. Red all night and opens gap up. Closed all out.

12 июл. 2022 г.

Сделка активна

Made up half the drawdown on scalper short ffs. CPII tomorrow. no position.

12 июл. 2022 г.

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Fkg whipsawing

13 июл. 2022 г.

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I shorted the pm bounce and closed part of the position at 3:55, kept a 2 put runner. Not so confident of another massive gap, lousy CPI probably already priced in.

Bought gas n groceries today and realized price of evrything has exactly doubled in six months.

13 июл. 2022 г.

Сделка закрыта: достигнута тейк-профит цена

Closed shorts rolled into calls for scalper trade, closed those, done and out. Gonna whipsaw and just take ur money back imo.

13 июл. 2022 г.

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Pretty limited reaction considering how lousy the CPI was; imo it was just about priced in. Gonna get a rally soon.

13 июл. 2022 г.

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Nice gapfill! LOL I carried one call...

13 июл. 2022 г.

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Red > Green; if it holds to EOD probly gonna move higher imo. NOT chasing either way.
Made bank, like to keep it!