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Sell Set Up " Violence Into The 200" Step by Step

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One of my favorite setups that I found through Oliver Velez is called the Violence into 200. It is one of my go to bread and butters when it happens.

Below I will explain what to look for and how to play it

Step One:

Look for space between the 21ema and the 200sma which indicates a contraction back to the mean. The 21ema will be declining. Don't try to buy a "bounce" off the 200sma thinking it is support. Look for a violent move down, crashing into the 200sma. Violence weakens support.

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Step Two:

Upon witnessing the violent bar, you should jump in near the close of that bar and place your stop above the high of that bar.

50% of these plays do not bounce and 50% do bounce. I would not risk missing the play by waiting for a bounce.

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If a bounce happens, you have two choices. Limit sell at around the 50% mark of that violent bar or limit sell under that green bar that bounced off the 200sma. One is not better than the other.

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There are three entries that you can take

Number One:

Jump in the violent bar's close with a wider stop near the top 80% of the bar, in this case 75 ticks. Use a 1.5R target

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Number Two:

Limit sell order placed at around the 50% area in anticipation of a dead cat bounce

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Number Three:

Limit sell below the green bar from an anticipated dead cat bounce

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Number Two offers the best entry and the best reward but 50% of the time, these plays don't offer a bounce.

All of this information is from Oliver Velez and I take no credit in the creation of this play. I am merely sharing a fantastic setup
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Here is an example today of Violence into the 200sma that did NOT bounce. Just straight down.

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