Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid Upside

For Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position.

This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks.


Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news.


On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario.

Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets.


Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.