EURO STOXX 50 VS FTSE 100

24 мая 2023 г.

A clear correlation between Euro Stoxx 50 - Ftse 100 ratio, and the EUR/GBP exchange rate. I believe we will see European equities outperforming until January 2024, and the pound getting stronger, reaching 1.4 to 1.5 level versus the euro. From a macro perspective, the UK is in a harder corner as inflation is clearly more elevated, but this will also force UK rates to stay higher for longer, ( policy rate as well as bond rates ) thus more money will flow in, searching for higher yields.