United Rentals: Where’s the Recession?

Despite all the talk about a recession in 2023, many cyclical industrial companies have gained traction lately -- including United Rentals.

The first item on today’s chart is the $365 area where URI peaked in late March. Prices pushed against that level several times since mid-November while making higher lows. The result has been an ascending triangle. The stock broke out of that potentially bullish continuation pattern last week.

Next, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) rose above the 200-day SMA in late November as the triangle formed. That kind of “golden cross” may suggest the longer-term trend is turning positive again.

Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA throughout the consolidation period. Such tight price action could indicate buyers exceed sellers.

Finally, MACD has just turned positive.

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