USDARS: Update - 2 weeks to define the trend

21 мар. 2016 г.

The USDARS pair has an interesting setup, on one hand, the uptrend that started after monetary policy changed, has failed to reach the target on time, suggesting a selloff was possible (which did in fact materialize).
I have reccomended my fellow countrymen to sell their dollars at the 15.8-15.4 mark, but it's time to pay attention to go long the dollar again, possibly, unless the downtrend is confirmed in 2 weeks or less.

If you have peso savings, wait fo a good chance to convert them to dollars, if you're still in dollars and haven't sold, well, you should have paid more attention to my forecast #1, #2, don't panic, you might get a good opportunity to unload your dollars higher soon, or more reasons to hold them too.
For people actually trading this pair electronically, I'd reccomend using ATR based stops, and/or no leverage, since volatility can be quite extreme.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.

30 мар. 2016 г.

Заметка

We should see downtrend continuation in this pair for now.

30 мар. 2016 г.

Заметка

19:00 GMT, Argentinian GDP news.

8 апр. 2016 г.

Заметка

We have to hit 14.15 this week before the close to stay in shorts.

17 апр. 2016 г.

Сделка закрыта вручную

Covered usdars shorts.