USD/CAD taps 1.36, mean reversion due?
Обновлено
At the end of January we highlighted the potential for USD/CAD to retrace back to its 50% level and print a swing low. It worked out well - although the 1.36 target did not arrive as soon as hoped. Still, it reached that key level on Wednesday - and it is a level that remains of interest.
Not only did prices fail to close above the 1.36 handle and weekly R2 pivot, but the area also lands around a prior congestion zone and high-volume node from the previous trend lower. And as RSI (2) reached oversold by Wednesday's close, it suggests a potential pullback - at least over the near-term.
US PCE inflation is an obvious risk event that could send USD/CAD (and the dollar in general) in either direction. But with volatility expected to be lower heading into the event, perhaps we'll get a cheeky pullback now as we head towards it.
Bears could enter short with a stop above the high and seek mean reversion to the weekly R1 pivot. Or step aside and wait for the PCE data to print; hot figures likely send USD/CAD above 1.36 whereas a refreshingly weak report could send it below 1.350.
Not only did prices fail to close above the 1.36 handle and weekly R2 pivot, but the area also lands around a prior congestion zone and high-volume node from the previous trend lower. And as RSI (2) reached oversold by Wednesday's close, it suggests a potential pullback - at least over the near-term.
US PCE inflation is an obvious risk event that could send USD/CAD (and the dollar in general) in either direction. But with volatility expected to be lower heading into the event, perhaps we'll get a cheeky pullback now as we head towards it.
Bears could enter short with a stop above the high and seek mean reversion to the weekly R1 pivot. Or step aside and wait for the PCE data to print; hot figures likely send USD/CAD above 1.36 whereas a refreshingly weak report could send it below 1.350.
Сделка закрыта: достигнута тейк-профит цена
Похожие публикации
Отказ от ответственности
Все виды контента, которые вы можете увидеть на TradingView, не являются финансовыми, инвестиционными, торговыми или любыми другими рекомендациями. Мы не предоставляем советы по покупке и продаже активов. Подробнее — в Условиях использования TradingView.