Fundamental Backdrop 1. The Average Cash Earnings y/y dropped from 4.1% to 0.8%, this shows that consumers have lesser disposable income to spend correlating to lower income. 2. Bank Lending y/y increased from 3.1% to 3.3% which shows confidence in future financial position. However, this is overshadowed by Fed Powell's statement to increase interest rates, strengthening the DXY. 3. The Current Account dropped from 1.18T to 0.22T, which indicates that domestic currency's demand has dropped.
Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for USDJPY on the H4 chart is bullish . To add confluence to our bias, price is above the Ichimoku cloud and along an ascending trend-line. 2. Near-term resistance at 137.600. 3. Minor support at 137.100
Idea I will be looking for price to possibly retest the minor support at 137.100 before continuing bullish towards the resistance at 137.600.
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