Crude Oil buyers brace for a bumpy road ahead, focus on $79.50

14 июн.

WTI Crude Oil picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a seven-week-old falling resistance line, close to $78.65 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold recovers from a 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $77.70. Given the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions underpinning the commodity’s rebound, the buyers are likely to overcome the immediate trend line resistance surrounding $78.65. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $79.50 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the energy bulls. Also acting as an upside filter are the $80.00 threshold and late May swing high of $80.60. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s successful trading past $80.60 enables the optimists to aim for the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late 2023, near $83.50 as we write.

On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 50% Fibonacci ratio of $77.70 could quickly fetch the WTI crude oil prices to the previous monthly low of around $76.20. If the black gold remains bearish past $76.20, the monthly bottom of around $72.40 and the $70.00 psychological magnet will lure the sellers. It’s worth observing that the energy benchmark’s sustained weakness past $70.00 could make it vulnerable to a slump toward the previous yearly low of around $63.60.

Overall, WTI Crude Oil appears all set to post the biggest weekly gain since early April but a daily closing past $79.50 will be crucial for bulls to retake control.