WTI - Short Trade Idea

24 авг.

This is a short trade idea that fades the recent expansion upwards.

I did an analysis all the way from the yearly timeframe down to the daily, and all arrows still point lower. WTI came into a yearly BISI, which is generally a big deal, but I have a feeling (also based on analysis) that we will come lower into a 6-month BISI and take out the ascending SSL below. The inefficiencies on the daily timeframes are also indicating a move lower. However, caution will be expressed in observing the creation of bullish PD Arrays on the way to my short POI.

If price continues up from my short POI and closes candles above on the daily, then we may be looking at higher prices first. USDCAD, which is negatively correlated with WTI to a high degree, has some a large double top on the higher timeframe overview. This would coincide with a move lower on WTI. That being said as a USD pair, how much of a recovery can we expect on the US Dollar is this happens?

- R2F

24 авг.

Заметка

I have a short idea for USDCAD as well, which conflicts with this short. My bias for USDCAD is stronger at the moment, so I will be mindful about WTI continuing higher to fill in more inefficiencies from the last higher timeframe spike up.