Gold at a Crossroad: Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!

5 авг.

Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1-hour chart
Exchange: OANDA
Current Price: 2444.100

Key Levels and Zones
4HR LQZ: 2474.524
1HR LQZ: 2370.122

Support Level: 2348.660
Key Low: 2287.754

Patterns and Channels

Descending Channel:
The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out.
Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel.

Ascending Channel:
The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel.

Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend.

Current Price Action
Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel.

Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ.

Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly.

Inset Chart: DXY
The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD.

Market Sentiment
Bullish Signs:
The breakout from the descending channel.
Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.

Bearish Signs:
Rejection at the 4HR LQZ.
Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend.

Summary
The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.