Despite recent fluctuations, my medium-term bearish outlook on gold remains firm.
Last Friday’s NFP report caused a spike that hit my stop loss at 2390, leading me to temporarily exit the market.
My Scenarios:
Rise and Sell:
Gold may rise to test 2400 or higher. If it shows weakness at this level, I'll look for a selling opportunity, targeting a drop back to the support level(around 2300)
Consolidation and Drop:
If gold fails to break above the recent high, I expect a drop to support (2300), marking this new high a strong ceiling level.
Daily Time Frame:
On the daily chart, yesterday’s drop negated the NFP rise, reinforcing my bearish outlook.
If gold rises again above 2400, in my opinion it’s unlikely to hold gains, also suggesting a continuation downward.