Key Levels: 1. **Entry Zone**: - Planned within the **Golden Zone**, between **61.8%** ($2,946) and **78.6%** ($2,910) Fibonacci retracement levels. - This zone is identified as a high-probability area for a reversal based on Fibonacci principles.
2. **Stop Loss (SL)**: - Positioned just below the **78.6% Fibonacci level** at approximately **$2,910** to minimize risk if the price invalidates the setup.
3. **Take Profit (TP)**: - **TP1**: At the **0% Fibonacci retracement level** (~$3,043), corresponding to the nearest resistance level or the top of the previous range. - **TP2** (if applicable): Extended profit level, potentially aligned with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., -27.2% or -61.8% for continuation).
Trade Logic: 1. **Fibonacci Confluence**: - The price has retraced into the golden zone, an area with strong historical significance for reversals.
2. **Trend Bias**: - The current market structure suggests a potential uptrend resumption after the pullback.
3. **Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R)**: - This setup offers a favorable R:R, targeting a large profit potential relative to the risk defined by the SL.
4. **Moving Averages**: - The 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (orange) act as dynamic support/resistance. A price above 50 EMA could add confirmation.
Market Considerations: - **Price Reaction**: Monitor price action closely within the golden zone. A bullish engulfing candle or breakout would provide further entry confirmation. - **Volume Analysis**: Increased volume on bullish candles will validate momentum strength. - **News & Fundamentals**: Watch for U.S. Dollar (USD) strength/weakness, Federal Reserve policy updates, or geopolitical risks, as these heavily influence gold prices.
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