XAU/USD 12 August 2024 Intraday Analysis
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
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