Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on the previous day’s strong gain of more than 1% and attracted some intraday sellers near a retested monthly peak in the Asian session on Tuesday. The decline could be attributed to some repositioning ahead of key US inflation figures and a positive risk-on bias, which tends to dampen demand for the safe-haven precious metal.
However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about a broader regional conflict could dampen market optimism. This, coupled with dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which put US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive, should provide some support to the lackluster Gold prices. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for meaningful momentum.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the overnight breakout above the $2,448-2,450 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh impetus for bullish traders. Furthermore, the oscillators on the daily chart have gained positive traction, further suggesting that the path of least resistance for Gold is to the upside. Hence, a further move back to challenge the record high, around the $2,483-2,484 region, looks like a clear possibility. Next up is the psychological $2,500 level, which if decisively cleared would set the stage for an extension of the upward trajectory.
On the downside, the $2,450-2,448 resistance now looks to protect the immediate downside, below which, Gold could slide back to the overnight lows around the $2,424-2,423 region. The next relevant support level is anchored near the $2,412-2,410 zone ahead of the $2,400 round-figure mark.
Pay attention to the support-resistance zone for the best trading strategy.
Resistance: 2469 - 2475 - 2486 - 2492- 2500 - 2508
Support: 2459 - 2446 - 2434 - 2425
Sell 2485 - 2487, Stoploss 2491
Sell 2500 - 2502, Stoploss 2506
Buy 2435 - 2433, Stoploss 2429
Buy 2426 - 2424, Stoploss 2420