XAU/USD 22 November 2024 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.

Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH.

Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations.

Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

H4 Chart: снимок

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation played out as price successfully printed a bearish CHoCH before targeting weak internal high.

Price has since printed a double bullish iBOS.

Price has yet to print a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.

Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, signaling the initiation of a bearish pullback phase, trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.

Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase. Price is trading at the premium of its internal and swing 50% equilibrium (EQ) and H4 supply zone where we could see a bearish reaction.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: снимок
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