SEC harvests the bigwigs of the coin circle, and the copycat coi

11 июн. 2023 г.

The reincarnation of the coin circle does not need to live long. In every bear market, the copycat coins are played according to the rhythm of “zeroing”.

Of course, this time is no exception. I have always been skeptical about copycat coins. They are both currency and securities, and they are impossible to exist in the mainstream market. Which reliable government can let the currency issuance power fall to others? So when I wrote articles in Golden Finance in those years, I repeatedly emphasized the risk of copycat coins, and this view has not changed until now.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are defined as commodities, which are barely squeezed into the mainstream trading market, but a copycat coin also wants to enter the hall, isn’t it a dream? Now it’s fine, SEC has taken action, and unlike the Chinese government, the US government has shown the nature of capitalism. Everything is operated around economic interests. I don’t expel you, I just want money. If you are willing to redeem yourself and whitewash yourself, otherwise, I will let you go to hell.

This time on the surface is harvesting Binance, coinbase, in fact, those blind followers are the final leeks.

If we only look at the technical chart and do not consider the survival ability of the non-mainstream market in the future, this wave of copycat coins basically fell by 90%, which is definitely worth rebounding. But if you think about it, you can’t log in to compliant exchanges, including licensed markets such as Hong Kong’s encrypted exchanges in the future, then compliant funds will not be able to participate in transactions. And whether non-compliant funds can still play the role of market leader as before 2018?

To be honest, I don’t have much concept of copycat coins and can’t give you more advice. In a highly speculative market, being conservative may not be a bad thing.

From the daily line, bitcoin has a macd bottom divergence, ma144 and the previous head and shoulder bottom neckline 25200 have a certain support nearby, and the bulls also try to defend here. As for whether it can succeed, we need to see if macd can form a bottom divergence. And from the perspective of rebounding, I gave out abc’s structure earlier. At present, it should be in b’s adjustment. If the neckline fails to defend, 23200-21400 US dollars may be the adjustment target below.

Of course, if we look at the monthly line, here is a larger adjustment structure ABC in which B wave rebounds cycle. Bitcoin has fallen by 77% in one wave this time. Compared with the decline in previous bear markets (more than 80%), it is still not in place (more than 80%), and it seems that the bear market has not ended from time to time. So after rebounding, there may be a more tragic wave of killing.

In short, although institutional investors in the United States have joined in and changed the ecology of coin circles, although the previous barbaric growth mode will not disappear immediately, but game rules must change and make SEC comfortable. Change so that Wall Street tycoons can play more easily.